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Topic: Florida Weather Report

  1. #1221
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    Here's how dry we are right now. We've had a grand total of....*drum roll, please*...... ONE WHOLE MILLIMETER of rain through half of November so far. We should get 65 for the month. Not happening, methinks.

  2. #1222
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    Oh dear, not good...

  3. #1223
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    Anyone who arrived this time last week and looked at the weather forecast probably thought they had arrived at exactly the wrong time. After a month of largely clear, dry weather, suddenly the forecast was absolutely full of rain, clouds and even thunderstorms. It must have looked grim to anyone unfamiliar with how Florida's weather (and the vagaries of weather forecasting) actually works. Here's how it panned out:

    Day 1 - no significant weather in the forecast; the outcome: a glorious sunny a day, and pretty warm at 80F (26.6C).
    Day 2 - widespread showers forecast, some possibly heavy; the outcome: a glorious morning (up to 82F), with clouds arriving early afternoon. Light rain for, maybe, 10 minutes.
    Day 3 - more showers possible; the outcome: clear and bright, with temps still reaching 79F, which is distinctly above average for late November
    Day 4 - 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms; the outcome: very light rain, around 1pm, for maybe 10 mins. Still nicely warm.
    Day 5 - 50% chance of heavy rain at some stage with cold front advancing on Florida; the outcome: another stonkingly gorgeous morning, clouding over in the afternoon. Temp back up to 81F.
    Day 6 - horrible forecast; heavy, prolonged rain with 90% chance of thunderstorms; the outcome: the merest hint of drizzle for, maybe, five minutes. Cooler day, though, at 77F (25C)
    PS: The forecast for Port Orange, just 75 miles to the north-east, near Daytona, was for "4-8 inches of rain." They got 1.27.
    Day 7 - much cooler, with more possible showers; the outcome: definitely cool at barely 69F (20.5) and with a chilly wind. Cloudy but dry.

    So, a week when we were supposed to be largely wet and miserable turned out to be pretty much ideal for theme park visits, albeit with a couple of showers to work around (which we did). We have now got through most of November with only 0.14ins of rain (4mm) and there is absolutely none in the forecast after the latest cold front pushed through. It IS foggy and dull so far today, but it should brighten up, and there is very little but sun in the offing for the rest of the month and into early December. Temps should stay above average at around 77-79F (they should be down to around 75 at this time of year) but we are starting to look VERY dry indeed, which is quite worrying this early in the winter.

    It does follow the pattern of recent years, though, with Nov being a great month to be here. While it is certainly chilly in the evenings and early morning (definitely need a coat or heavy sweater), it is ideal during the day and perfect for tramping around the theme parks. The advance forecast for December is already extremely short on rain and that would be bad news for the spring, as that is typically our dry period, with the possibility of wild fires. If we don't get any significant rain in the next few months (and you have to go back to 2002 for the last time we had a really wet December), it would definitely be cause for concern.

  4. #1224
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    OK, so late November can be a bit of a dicey game as regards the weather, but, increasingly, it seems this is a great time to be here. This week we have hit a positive heatwave, with temps reaching 83F (28C), which is almost 10 degrees above average. There is still some cloud around, but there is also plenty of sun, and a lot more powerfully than we would expect. Even the early-morning temp has shifted from around 54F (12C) to almost 70F (21C) this morning at 7.30. And that is definitely still shorts weather for most! We would expect to be getting distinctly chilly as soon as the sun goes down, too, but the last two evenings we've still had all the doors and windows open until gone 10pm.

    We are also due to go storming into December with temps at 80F, or above, and it could be the 8th/9th before we cool down at all. There remains little to no rain in the forecast, which would mean finishing November with just 0.14in in rain, and one of the dryest Novembers on record (especially considering it is still officially hurricane season until the end of the month!). That's great for our visitors, but not to great for our gardens

  5. #1225
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    While the seasons may be more subtle and harder to discern in Florida if you don't live here, they certainly still provide plenty of variation. Yesterday morning we had quite heavy fog until around 9am while this morning (despite a forecast for more fog!) dawned clear and blue. Two days ago, it was 70F by 8am, yesterday we didn't top 70 until almost 11am. But then we went on to reach 83F (28C), and it certainly felt plenty warm outside (to the extent the a/c kicked back in again!).

    What all this means is that you need to be more careful with your holiday wardrobe than at any other time of year. With temp fluctuations of 30 degrees F, you need to be prepared for it to be distinctly chilly, especially if you intend to be in the parks early and/or late, but you also still need to use plenty of sunscreen, and dress in layers so you can discard sweaters, etc, when it warms up. Taking advantage of the all-day lockers at the parks is a really good idea in this instance (unless you want to make the LONG hike back to your car!).

    PS: Still no rain! The last significant rainfall we had was on October 23 and, before that, Oct 5.

  6. #1226
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    Cold weather alert! Cold weather alert! Having shown, 2 days ago, a fairly unbroken stint of warm weather for the immediate future, the forecasters have changed their mind this evening and put up signs of a major cold front coming through this Thursday (Dec 7), with temps positively plummeting (to 55F/12.5C) in its wake. It could be down to just 43F (6C) overnight, which would be a huge drop, considering we are barely going below 63F (17C) at the moment at our coldest. Considering we have been at 83/84/85 in the past few days, that would be a 30-degree drop in the daytime temp and 20 at night. There is, finally, some rain in the forecast, too, with the possibility of a thunderstorm on Friday (Dec 8). It is much needed right now, with next to no rain for the past 41 days.

  7. #1227
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    Thats a big drop! We are forecast to get a cold spell again this weekend but as it is already pretty nippy here it wont be a massive difference.

  8. #1228
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    Yes, we're definitely not ready for temps in the 40s and 50s It's not totally unusual for this time of year, but, having been so warm in recent weeks, we're not looking forward to it!

  9. #1229
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    The true start of Florida winter is now just hours away. Yesterday's high of 84F (29C) is already long gone, and we barely reached 73F (21C) today, with the prospect we will be down in the low 60s (18C) by Saturday (Dec 9). The rain is due to arrive tomorrow evening and last well into the following morning, and we may not see the sun for a few days. By the time the cold front moves through, we should be down in the 50sF on the 10th, and then struggling back to the low 70s over the next few days (which would be the usual average for December). The rest of the month is showing as between 63 and 76F (17-24C), with night-time temps dipping to around 43F (6C), albeit there is little to no rain in the forecast for the rest of the month; maybe showers on the 20th.

    Time to get the thermal underwear out...!

    Early forecast - Christmas Day is supposed to be 66F (18C) and cloudy. Boo.

  10. #1230
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    I read the water parks are closing Saturday.

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