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Topic: Florida Weather Report

  1. #1721
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    And, barely 12 hours later, the latest 'Storm Watch' is over. Apparently, the latest models pretty much all show the storm staying further out to sea and not bothering anyone (except, possibly, Bermuda!). They got us all riled up with their early predictions of storm-force conditions along the coast (and inland), only to find it's not going anywhere near. Weather forecasters, hey...?!

  2. #1722
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    Our forecast for the next 5 days:

    Friday (today): "50% chance of storms"
    Reality - nada
    Saturday: "70% chance of storms"
    Sunday: "50% chance of storms"
    Monday: "40% chance of storms"
    Tuesday: Partly sunny

    I wonder how much this will change now this latest tropical storm is staying well out to sea...

  3. #1723
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    Well, the weather is definitely showing signs of settling back down into more of a 'summer normal' mode as we start a new week. The past few days have been very changeable, and the weather has been extremely mixed (if not staying the same for very long!). Here's how those last few days have shaped up, according to the forecast:

    Friday: "50% chance of storms"
    Reality - nada
    Saturday: "70% chance of storms"
    Reality - a couple of (very brief) squally showers
    Sunday: "50% chance of storms"
    Reality - a few more squally showers, one fairly heavy downpour (for 15 minutes) and 2 rumbles of thunder!
    Monday (today): "40% chance of storms"
    Reality - a very cloudy start to the day, but rapidly brightening up
    Tuesday: Partly sunny

  4. #1724
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    It's also worth pointing out that the past 4 days have been much more like the usual monthly average for temperature after that burst of heat into the 94-95F/35C region (with the Heat Index over 100/37.7). We are pretty much right on the money right now at 90/32, with the September average usually dropping to 86/30 by the end of the month. It's still pretty humid, though (around 80%), so that makes it feel distinctly warmer.

    To date, we've had just under 3ins of rain for the month, with a usual monthly average of 6.1ins, so we're a bit below average in that respect so far.

  5. #1725
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    It's been an odd few days of mixed weather, with an even odder forecast for the next 10 days. What it could mean is that we are in that hard-to-define transition stage between late summer and early autumn in Florida, which are practically the same but for a few details. I can tell because I no longer have to mow the lawn every week (but ever 8-9 days!); there is a hint of cool in the air at 7.30am when I walk the dog; and there is a more persistent breeze in the morning.

    They are all subtle signs that the season is shifting gear and transitioning to that stage loved by all Floridians - NOT summer!

    We have had a few brief, quick-moving showers just lately, and none of the usual heavy, thundery weather that is the trademark of May-Sept. It is still cloudy at times, but not for long, and today's general breeziness is definitely not something you get in the summer months. The temp is also dropping deep into the 70sF at night (about 23C) and it is only 82/27 by 11am when we're used to it being closer to 90 in recent weeks. The humidity is not as pronounced either, which is a really good sign. It does mean it's easier to get sunburned, though!

    And here's the forecast for the next 10 days (not a drop of rain in sight ):

    Sept 20: Windy
    Sept 21: Partly sunny
    Sept 22: Partly sunny
    Sept 23: Mostly sunny
    Sept 24: Sunny
    Sept 25: Mostly sunny
    Sept 26: Partly cloudy
    Sept 27: Partly cloudy
    Sept 28: Partly cloudy
    Sept 29: Partly sunny

    (PS: We still have no idea what the difference is between 'Partly sunny' and 'Partly cloudy'...

  6. #1726
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    Did I say there was a gradual, subtle change? How about an overnight, flipped-the-switch, all-off-a-sudden change from summer to autumn? And it really has been dramatic, going from 90-degree heat, and the humidity to match, to a 24-hour period where the temperature has dropped from 92 to 82, with a strong northerly breeze that has dried up the atmosphere and all but removed any real trace of humidity. The morning temps are now suddenly into the low 70sF and there is a distinct freshness to the air where, before, we had the heavy feel of summer. It really has been that dramatic. There HAS been some cloud around, but it is much thinner and more fast-moving that we've been seeing for the past 4 and a half months

    The forecast also insists on things staying dry and mainly sunny, with temps edging back towards 90F/31C by the end of the month but absolutely zero rain in the next 10 days. Very odd for September, as we still expect some wet and stormy weather into mid-October. Can this be real??
    Last edited by Simon Veness; 24-09-2019 at 02:31 PM.

  7. #1727
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    The steady change from summer to autumn continues apace, gradual but distinct. Our overnight temps are now dropping down to 70F/21C for the first time in more than 4 months, and there is a genuine cool feel to the air first thing in the morning.

    Of course, the daytimes are absolutely stonkingly gorgeous at the moment, albeit still pushing towards the 'Phew!' feel of summer at around 92/33 when we would expect to be around 88/31. The humidity has dropped from its summer 80%-plus to barely 60%, though, which takes some of the sting out of the heat, and the evenings are now moving quickly to the state of 'perfect' that is one of the reasons to be here!

    We have had 4 straight days with zero rain, and the next forecast chance for any rain is still another 4 days away, so things will be pretty dry by then, as the evaporation rate goes sky-high in these largely cloudless but breezy conditions. Definitely time to beware of sunburn/heatstroke, and enjoy evening dining al fresco!

  8. #1728
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    This month's weather has been a real puzzler. We've now gone nearly 10 straight days without any rain, which is pretty odd for a month that usually gets a good 6-plus inches of rain and has had less than half that (and then nearly all of it came in the first 7 days).

    We have continued to be just above average for temperature (like the month in general), albeit we did have a spell of 5-6 days when we were distinctly cooler than normal. The humidity has crept back into the atmosphere in the past few days, as a bit of cloud has returned (and there were some isolated showers in a few places around Central Florida yesterday), but this month has definitely changed significantly from the way it started (hot, wet and still very humid).

    It looks like we will be starting October with a (slightly) higher chance of rain than just recently, but mainly hot and dry still (around 88-90F/31-32C), until around Oct 12 when we should see some stormy weather and then a noticeable cool-down to the more normal temps for that time of year (83-84/28).

    It's definitely cooler in the mornings, which is a sure sign of autumn, but the amount of sun should still be considerable!
    Last edited by Simon Veness; 29-09-2019 at 02:11 PM.

  9. #1729
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    We're just in Atlanta waiting to fly up to Boston tomorrow morning. We've spent the past week in Nashville and Tuscaloosa and there have been record temperatures up there, Georgia is still 83 degrees at 21:30. We were at the Alabama V Ole Miss game yesterday where it was high 90s, an absolute scorching day. Alabama is predicted to be in the high 90s for the next week

    Watching the news California has had a downfall of hail that stranded cars it was so deep while Montana has had a couple of feet of snow.

  10. #1730
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    Yup, the weather patterns are just all over the place right now. Floods in some parts and near-drought in others (like here, in actual fact).

    We've had just 0.15in of rain in the past 2 weeks, and all of that fell in two brief showers on Monday evening (Sep 30), when we were waiting for the final IllumiNations show! It is now so dry we are getting brushfire warnings from the Florida authorities, which is practically unheard of at this time of year. It is about where it usually is temp-wise (around 89-90F/32C) but is SO dry it feels like the spring, not late summer/early autumn, when we can still get major storms. There is absolutely nothing in the atmosphere right now, hence the evaporation rate is quite high and the cloud cover is pretty low, apart from a few days at the end of last month.

    We urgently need some rain, and yet there is very little in the forecast for the next week. Seeing as Dec-Feb is our 'dry' season, we can't afford to be going into that period with an existing, major rain deficit. Great for visitors, terrible for our landscape!

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